Headlining today on WELT-Online: “Vote Change — Right-wing Populist Wilders Crashes in Polls.” The newspaper is referring here to a survey by Maurice de Hond that put Wilders (17%), Balkenende (25%) and Cohen (55%), hitherto mayor of Amsterdam together in a poll. This group wasn’t available together as a choice anyway, so the formulation of “Crashes” in the headline is patently false.

(From Andreas F. for German PI /Translation: Anders Denken)

Even more noticeable is that the WELT messes up another result with the same numbers. So de Hond posed the question like this. Given, that Job Cohen would become the head of the PvdA (Labor Party – Netherlands): How would the probability change of you voting for the PvdA? 73 percent of those surveyed (!) answered that they wouldn’t have considered voting for the PvdA, and that they wouldn’t do so now.

In the other reference source, an examination of the magazine “Een Vandaag”, 25% voted for Cohen, 17% for Balkenende and 15% for Wilders. A caveat certainly needs to be mentioned here: The “opinion panel” used as the basis has 40,000 members, and in respect to its members’ needs is representative of six variables. However, of the 40,000 members belonging to this foum, only 16,000 participated, and of them only 3,500 (about 20%) voted in the last Parliamentary election for the PvdA. Therefore, inasfar as this survey is representative remains unclear, especially as to who (or who didn’t) cast a vote, and for what reason.

One thing is clear, however, that the WELT very strongly presents itself as shortsighted, and that it draws conclusions that the material doesn’t provide wherever possible. Apparently the questions that aren’t so clearly separated the the WELT asks are, one one side, about the favorite for the office of Prime Minister, and on the other, about the favored Party.

By the way, the comment function for the WELT article has been deactivated.

Headlining today on WELT-Online: "Vote Change -- Right-wing Populist Wilders Crashes in Polls." The newspaper is referring here to a survey by Maurice de Hond that put Wilders (17%), Balkenende (25%) and Cohen (55%), hitherto mayor of Amsterdam together in a poll. This group wasn't available together as a choice anyway, so the formulation of "Crashes" in the headline is patently false. (From Andreas F. for German PI /Translation: Anders Denken) Even more noticeable is that the WELT messes up another result with the same numbers. So de Hond posed the question like this. Given, that Job Cohen would become the head of the PvdA (Labor Party - Netherlands): How would the probability change of you voting for the PvdA? 73 percent of those surveyed (!) answered that they wouldn't have considered voting for the PvdA, and that they wouldn't do so now. In the other reference source, an examination of the magazine "Een Vandaag", 25% voted for Cohen, 17% for Balkenende and 15% for Wilders. A caveat certainly need

Guest, 14. Mar 2010 |  Print This Post |  Email This Post | post a comment    
Kategorie: Germany, Media, Netherlands;

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